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Survey USA Results: How Would Indiana Vote If The Elections Were Today?


Last Update: 9/30/2008 12:45 pm

Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14463

Geography Surveyed: Indiana
Data Collected: 09/28/2008 - 09/29/2008
Release Date: 09/30/2008 09:15 ET
Sponsors: SurveyUSA America's Pollster, WCPO-TV Cincinnati, WHAS-TV Louisville

Race for President Tight in Hoosier State: In an election for President of the United States held in Indiana today, 09/30/08, Republican John McCain edges Democrat Barack Obama 48% to 45%, according to this latest SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WHAS-TV Louisville and WCPO-TV Cincinnati. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released six weeks ago, McCain is down 2 points; Obama is up 1.

Among men, McCain leads by 9; among women, Obama leads by 2 -- an 11-point gender gap.
Among voters younger than Barack Obama, McCain and Obama tie. Among voters older than John McCain, McCain leads by 8. Among those who are in-between the two candidates' ages, McCain leads by 4.
Among white voters, McCain leads by 9 points. Among blacks, Obama leads by 65.
85% of Republicans vote for McCain; 82% of Democrats vote for Obama; Independents are tied.
Obama has gained ground over the past six weeks in the Indianapolis and Central Indiana areas; McCain has gained ground in Southern Indiana. In Northern Indiana, where voters see Chicago television from Obama's home state of Illinois, Obama led by 17 points fourteen weeks ago and by 5 points six weeks ago; today, Obama leads there by 1.


Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 Indiana adults 09/28/08 and 09/29/08. Of them, 802 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 687 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely voters in the 11/04/08 general election. Indiana has 11 Electoral College votes. George W. Bush carried Indiana by 21 points in 2004 and by 16 points in 2000. Polling conducted during an unprecedented time of economic and political turbulence.

1
  Asked of 687 likely voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 3.8%

If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Or, Democrat Barack Obama?

48%McCain (R)
45%Obama (D)
3%Other
3%Undecided

Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14463

Geography Surveyed: Indiana
Data Collected: 09/28/2008 - 09/29/2008
Release Date: 09/30/2008 09:20 ET
Sponsors: SurveyUSA America's Pollster, WCPO-TV Cincinnati, WHAS-TV Louisville

Daniels Holds Lead in Indiana Governor Re-Election Contest: In an election for Governor of Indiana held today, 09/30/08, Incumbent Republican Mitch Daniels defeats Democratic Jill Long Thompson, according to this latest SurveyUSA tracking poll conducted exclusively for WHAS-TV in Louisville and WCPO-TV in Cincinnati. Today, it's Daniels and running mate Lt. Governor Becky Skillman 53%, Democrat Long Thompson and running mate Dennie Oxley 37%. The Libertarian ticket of Andy Horning and Lisa Kelly take 6%; 4% of likely voters are undecided. Compared to a SurveyUSA poll released six weeks ago, Daniels is up 1 point; Long Thompson is down 1 point.

Daniels now leads in all regions of the state: in previous polling, Long Thompson led in Northern Indiana. 25% of Democrats cross over to vote for incumbent Republican Daniels; 14% of Republicans cross over to vote for Democrat Long Thompson. Independents favor Daniels by 25 points.


Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 Indiana adults 09/28/08 and 09/29/08. Of them, 802 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 687 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely voters in the 11/04/08 general election.

1
  Asked of 687 Likely Voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 3.8%

Indiana voters will also elect a Governor. If the election for Governor were today, would you vote for the...(choices rotated) The Republican ticket of Mitch Daniels and Becky Skillman? The Democratic ticket of Jill Long Thompson and Dennie Oxley? Or the Libertarian ticket of Andy Horning and Lisa Kelly?

53%Daniels / Skillman (R)
37%Long Thompson / Oxley (D)
6%Horning / Kelly (L)
4%Undecided


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